Will Biden do a good job?
Basic
3
Ṁ702029
12%
Republican Trifecta
16%
Democratic Trifecta
32%
Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress
40%
Republican wins Presidency and not Congress
In this market, 'doing a good job' leads to Democrats winning more elections. This market resolves to the outcome that best matches the results of the 2028 Presidential Election and Congressional elections. If Joseph R. Biden does not win the presidency in 2024, this market will resolve immediately to N/A. The choices are 'Democratic Trifecta', 'Republican Trifecta', 'Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress', and 'Republican wins Presidency and not Congress'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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