![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FArmandodiMatteo%252F4f1df9ae17eb.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Mini
9
Ṁ3232030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
2025 or earlier
32%
2026 or 2027
31%
2028 or 2029
11%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
How old will the first Catholic pope after Francis be at election?
Will Pope Francis die in office?
74% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?
Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?
85% chance
In which year will Pope Francis cease to be Pope?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will Pope Francis abdicate?
20% chance
Who will be elected the next Pope after Francis (Jorge Bergoglio)?