When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
21
400Ṁ18162030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
41%
2025 or earlier
40%
2026 or 2027
13%
2028 or 2029
5%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
When will the current pope (fransis) die
In which month of 2025 new pope will be elected?
How long will the next Catholic pope after Francis reign?
How old will the first Catholic pope after Francis be at election?
Will Pope Francis live past the end of April?
91% chance
Who will succeed pope Francis as pope?
Who will be elected the next Pope after Francis (Jorge Bergoglio)?
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?
Who will be the next Pope?
Will there be a new schism in the Roman Catholic Church during the Papacy of Francis?
5% chance