Will we ever have any idea (see description) whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
4
100Ṁ197
2199
86%
chance

As in https://manifold.markets/ArmandodiMatteo/will-we-ever-know-whether-covid19-c but with "33%", "67%" and "24 hours" instead of "5%", "95%" and "one week" respectively

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http://Covid.Gov

Official white house position now seems to be lab leak

@brianwang that page reads like it was written by a political staffer, not a scientist

I strongly suspect the resolution of this meta market, as well as the underlying, to say more about the participants than the fact of the matter. It will still be an interesting result, don't get me wrong, but I do wish these kind of questions used "will I think"/"will Manifold think" in the question wording.

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