Will we ever have any idea (see description) whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
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100Ṁ1672199
82%
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As in https://manifold.markets/ArmandodiMatteo/will-we-ever-know-whether-covid19-c but with "33%", "67%" and "24 hours" instead of "5%", "95%" and "one week" respectively
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I strongly suspect the resolution of this meta market, as well as the underlying, to say more about the participants than the fact of the matter. It will still be an interesting result, don't get me wrong, but I do wish these kind of questions used "will I think"/"will Manifold think" in the question wording.
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