Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024?
56
แน€6383
Nov 6
4%
chance

This market resolves to 'YES' if Andrew Yang runs for President in the 2024 general US Presidential election or in the primaries of any party.

EDIT: A write-in candidacy would count. The question will resolve when polls close on November 5, 2024.

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I'd spitball a 10% chance if Biden runs and a 70% chance if Biden doesn't run. I think Biden is more likely to run than not, so I'll put my loan on NO.
He just founded a lobbying firm...
low pool but I do expect they will run
Pretty low confidence in this trade, but