At least 5% of federal workers accept Trump administration buyout offer by February 6th 2025
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18
Ṁ1445
Feb 7
62%
chance

The Trump administration has offered federal workers a 'deferred resignation' buyout program, estimating 5-10% acceptance rate [edit: I previously said 5%, in error]. Resolution based on official government statements or credible news reports (NBC News, etc.) of final acceptance rate by program deadline.

Resolution criteria: Market resolves YES if at least 5% of eligible federal workers accept the buyout offer by Feb 6th 2025. NO if outside this range. If the buyout program is extended, this market will not extend, and will be resolved only based on employees resigning in the period to February 6th.

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I need to issue a correction to the description: I previously stated the Trump administration has offered federal workers a 'deferred resignation' buyout program, estimating 5% acceptance rate. In fact, they reportedly estimated a 5-10% acceptance rate.

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