Which of these Trump campaign pledges will come to pass by the end of his second term?

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Ṁ1140

2029

49%

Heavy Tariffs

49%

Ending taxes on tips

38%

Ending taxes on Social Security income

36%

Expanding the child tax credit to $5000

33%

Substantial Increase in Oil Permitting

33%

Increased Aid for Israel

33%

Attempted prosecution of the "enemy within"/political opponents

31%

Repeal or substantially curtail the Inflation Reduction Act

31%

Cut federal funding to schools that teach "critical race theory" and "transgender" matters

31%

Require and preside over increase in defense spending from allies

31%

Large Tax Cuts

30%

Large-scale deportations of immigrants

28%

Dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency

28%

Reduce independence of the Fed

15%

Ending the war in Ukraine "before Inauguration Day"

Resolutions will be entirely subjective and resolve according to my judgement alone due to the implausibility in coming up with criteria for all of them. I consider myself pretty fair with market resolutions though, if you don't trust me - look at my past market resolutions. To remove any conflicts, I will not bet.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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