What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
➕
Plus
145
Ṁ24k
Jan 1
97%
Post a Tweet
96%
Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement
95%
Deny Climate Change
91%
Enrich himself & his family financially
90%
Exercise
90%
Increase US oil production
90%
Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)
84%
Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association
79%
Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court
75%
Withdraw support for Ukraine
74%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk
70%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
70%
Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office
68%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
62%
Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general
61%
Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan
59%
Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock
59%
Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ
59%
Reverse Biden's executive order on AI
57%
Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

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Exercise

@JakeLowery Golf counts as exercise right?

@SentientTree Not up to me at this point I guess! But for what it’s worth as framing, intent, I would say only if he carries his own bags

How does resolution work for this kind of market? For instance, I added an answer.. Am I now responsible for deciding the resolution?

@Siebe No the market creator will resolve, or failing that, the mods.

Currently at 43%

@AndrewG hamnhrb?

@AndrewG What would happen if he orders a covfefe?

.

@KarlK Does continuing US support for the campaign in Gaza count here?

sold Ṁ49 Answer #e2f867da7dee YES

@SentientTree i.e. whose authority to we defer to in deciding what is or isn't a genocide?

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters
bought Ṁ50 Authorize or explici... NO

@KarlK Do mostly peaceful protesters count?

Needs more traders :)

bought Ṁ25 Answer #c970df8da35a NO

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

E.g. Border wall funds appropriation & COVID would resolve yes

Withdraw support for Ukraine

@Odoacre Can you expand on the criteria?

@AndrewG Can you? I'm curious if there's a threshold. Would withdrawing permission to use ATACMS mean withdrawing support?

@AndrewEdstrom Does the pardon have to succeed legally, or does this resolve Yes in the attempt?

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself. I will update the language accordingly.

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself.

(Turns out I cannot update the language in the question, nor delete the second comment that I posted accidentally. Sorry!)

Ha! No worries, thanks for clarifying. BTW Typically people edit the comment to say [deleted] 🤷‍♂️

@AndrewG Can you update the question accordingly?

@Ernie Dying would count?

yes

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