ARC-AGI-2 Top Score in 2025
11
1.1kṀ2952Dec 31
35.6 %
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
0 - 10%
20%
10 - 20%
31%
20 - 30%
16%
30 - 40%
7%
40 - 50%
6%
50 - 60%
6%
60 - 70%
5%
70 - 80%
4%
80 - 90%
2%
90 - 100%
This market resolves according to the score of the submission that receives the Top Score Prize ($75k) in 2025.
https://arcprize.org/blog/announcing-arc-agi-2-and-arc-prize-2025
In case the top score is in between two buckets, the market will resolve to the higher range. For example, if the top score is 50%, the market would resolve YES to 50 - 60%.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
28% chance
ARC-AGI-2 Top Score >=50% in 2025?
30% chance
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?
Before what year will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed?
Will any model score 70+% on ARC AGI 2 within 3 months of its release?
7% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?
21% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
33% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?
74% chance
Will an LLM report >50% score on ARC in 2025?
85% chance