Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025? | Manifold

Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?

Plus

51

Ṁ24k

Dec 31

1.1%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Inspired by Elon’s tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1819933223536742771?s=46&t=vV_dpuJm1mp8COD4AIOCjg

Resolves to true if there is civil war in the UK before 2025, defined as “a war between organized groups within the same state.”

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ101 NO

I wonder whats the actual probability though... 0.1%, 0.01%..

Related questions

WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Will there be a civil war in Israel before 2025?

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

When will there be a civil war in the USA?

What will happen to the UK before 2050?

Related questions

WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

When will there be a civil war in the USA?

Will there be a civil war in Israel before 2025?

What will happen to the UK before 2050?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules