Who will be the next US representative to be censured?
Basic
7
Ṁ647Jan 1
76%
19%
Rashida Tlaib
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Matt Gaetz
I will extend the market until another rep is censured.
The most recent censures were Rashida Tlaib (Nov. 2023), Adam Schiff (June 2023), and Paul Gosar (2021). If any of them are censured again, it still counts. The censure prior to that was in 2010. A full list can be provided here.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next person elected Speaker of the House of Representatives? [Add Answers]
Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
55% chance
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?
Next US federal impeachment?
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Which US Representatives will leave the House before the end of this term?
Will the Speaker of the House be ousted again before the next Congress begins?
3% chance
Who will be the /last/ Speaker of the US House of Representatives?
Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?
21% chance