Drake v Kendrick Lamar Prop Bets [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
60
18k
Aug 5
33%
Kendrick Lamar’s next track has the word “pedophile”
1%
Either artist sues the other by the end of June
1.3%
Kendrick releases an album or EP consisting solely of Drake diss tracks by the end of June
1%
Drake or Kendrick arrested by end of June

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Kendrick releases a song, and Drake does not release a song for a month afterwards

When will you close this market.

@AndrewCrosse just asking because you said you would close some markets today

@AndrewCrosse Yup no problem; just went through some of them.

I will resolve that one, and I’m thinking NO, since it’s phrased as “and” and neither condition was met. Any objections?

Kendrick Lamar’s next track has the word “pedophile”

FYI I will interpret this one literally and resolve it to whatever track Kendrick next releases, even if it is totally irrelevant to the feud.

Is the beef officialy considered over. Because if it is some of these markets should close

@AndrewCrosse I think it would be a little premature to resolve, especially the ones that are timebound to the end of May anyway.

The ones that aren't I'll likely resolve at the end of May if it's clear the feud is over or there haven't been more updates.

Any Kendrick song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in May

Not Like Us just hit #1

@geolover Link? I still see Fortnight here: https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/

@geolover huh, not sure why they haven't updated the main list but good enough for me.

Either artist doesn’t drop a new track for at least a week by the end of May

It’s been over a week since Kendrick dropped a track.

Kendrick Lamar drops a response to "The Heart Part 6" by the end of May 9th
bought Ṁ180 Kendrick Lamar drops... NO

Resolves ‘NO’

Not Like Us has over 30M views on YouTube by the end of May 8th (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6eK-2OQtew)
bought Ṁ750 Not Like Us has over... NO

Resolves ‘NO’

Kendrick Lamar drops a response track to “The Heart Part 6” by the end of May 7th
bought Ṁ500 Kendrick Lamar drops... NO

Resolves ‘NO’

@RickWilson I think this is sufficient if it’s shown to be related to the feud in some way

bought Ṁ5 Police get involved ... NO

@RickWilson

The police said that they did not know whether the shooting was related to the recent recent exchange of increasingly personal diss tracks traded between Drake and Kendrick Lamar.

bought Ṁ250 Not Like Us has over... NO

@DanMan314

How would this resolve if the shooter has no connection to Lamar but is a fan who may or may not have been inspired by the public conflict?

@snazzlePop If the shooter did it because of the conflict (at least in part) or has a connection to the conflict, it counts. If he didn’t, or no info emerges either way, it doesn’t.

Drake is confirmed to have a hidden daughter.
The Heart Part 6 has over 15M views on YouTube by the end of May 6th

Resolves 'NO'

The Heart Part 6 has over 15M views on YouTube by the end of May 6th

@DanMan314 Are you only counting the views as counted on Drake‘s channel or also including reuploads by others?

@snazzlePop Just as counted on Drake's channel

Will this market be extended if this is still ongoing on the close date?

@SaviorofPlant Yup, I'll extend this as long as it's relevant