If Biden drops out, who will seek the Democratic nomination?
Standard
14
Ṁ5852
resolved Aug 12
Resolved
YES
Kamala Harris
Resolved
NO
Michele Obama
Resolved
NO
Hilary Clinton
Resolved
NO
Gretchen Whitmer
Resolved
NO
Gavin Newsom
Resolved
NO
Pete Buttigieg
Resolved
NO
Josh Shapiro
Resolved
NO
Raphael Warnock
Resolved
NO
Jared Polis
Resolved
NO
Roy Cooper

Resolves YES if the person is reported by credible media outlets as seeking the nomination publicly or through back channels prior to election day.

Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolves NA if Biden does not drop out.

Update: Made this before I realized resolving NA is no longer an option. I will appeal to the mods to resolve NA if Biden does not drop out since people have already placed bets on this market. Otherwise, I will resolve to current prices (i.e. Keynesian beauty contest resolution) once Biden can no longer drop out.

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Thoughts on resolving this after nomination vs. election day?