Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed? | Manifold

Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed?

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33

Ṁ5717

Jan 1

8%

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1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves positive 1 month after a credible news report of serious injury or death.

Resolves negative when the clinical trials finish.

Resolves ambiguous if trials are stopped early.

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If someone dies but the consensus is that the death was completely unrelated to the procedure (e.g. homicide), does that count as YES for this market?

I'd also like an answer for this - @ElliotDavies can you please confirm

@12c498e @shankypanky No - the death needs to be plausibly a result of Neuralink

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Will a test subject die at Neurallink in 2024?

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Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

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Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?

When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?

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