How many counties will Trump win in 2024? | Manifold

How many counties will Trump win in 2024?

Plus

1

Ṁ150

Nov 1

15%

Between 2450 and 2500

15%

Between 2500 and 2550

15%

Between 2550 and 2600

15%

Between 2600 and 2650

15%

Between 2650 and 2700

15%

Between 2700 and 2750

9%

Between 2750 and 2800

For comparison, Trump won 2622 counties in 2016 and 2574 counties in 2020. Mitt Romney won 2420.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

You're double-counting (or not counting) the boundary numbers. And there's no "Other" so people have to bet treating the possibility of <2450 as 0% likely

Related questions

Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?

Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?

How many states will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry?

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?

Which of these states will vote for Donald Trump in the 2024 election?

What will be the last digit of the number of electoral votes that Trump will win in 2024?

Related questions

Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?

How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?

What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?

How many states will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry?

Which of these states will vote for Donald Trump in the 2024 election?

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

What will be the last digit of the number of electoral votes that Trump will win in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules