Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
33
1kṀ5064
2026
20%
chance

Market resolves upon release of 2025 data on repatriations published by the Department of Homeland Security.

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It seems like the 1million repatriation number is well within DHS's capability, given that similar numbers and higher were expelled by the Biden administration under public health orders related to COVID. https://ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigration/immigration-enforcement/immigration-enforcement-and-legal-processes-monthly

@jb456 As I understand it, individuals expelled under Title 42 expulsions were largely turned back at the border, not removed from the U.S. after crossing.

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