By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Premium
44
Ṁ46k2026
2%
7
40%
8
76%
10
90%
12
Resolved
NO6
Both must be on solid ground or a landing ship, mostly intact, and stationary, on the same flight. Starship must have flown to over 100 km on that flight.
For details, this question will use the same criteria as these:
/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-spaceflown-stars
/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-super-heavy-boos
/EvanDaniel/which-happens-first-starship-superh
Answers are for "on or before flight number X", so if they succeed on flight 11, then answers 11, 12, 13, etc. all resolve Yes, regardless of the outcome of flight 12.
I'll add more answers as future flights approach, as indicated by prices on existing answers.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy booster, as part of a space-bound flight
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
72% chance
How many launches will there be before Starship is recovered (3-13)
69% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
86% chance
Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?