Will the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become extinct in the current century?

Basic

6

Ṁ364

2099

37%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The California Condor is a New World Vulture and the largest land bird in North America. It became extinct in the wild in 1987 but has since been reintroduced to the wild in California, Arizona and Baja California, Mexiko. This market will resolve YES if the California Condor is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_condor

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically endangered

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22697636/181151405

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

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Total population now 560, one less than 5 month ago. https://www.ventanaws.org/status.html

According to the Ventana Wildlife Society there is a total population of 561 condors (344 wild, and 217 captive). Although numbers are much higher than some decades, such a small population makes the species highly vulnerable.

https://www.ventanaws.org/status.html

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