The Hawaiian Crow, a.k.a. ʻalalā is a bird native to Hawaii. It is currently extinct in the wild, though reintroduction programs are underway. This market will resolve YES if the Hawaiian Crow is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawaiian_crow
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Extinct in the Wild
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22706052/94048187
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Spectrum News: Release of captive native Hawaiian Crows on Maui approved:
Total captive population is 120