If humans fail to invent immortality I will likely be dead by this point. If they do invent immortality then I will be alive to pay out so you know win win. Immortality - humans cannot be killed by natural means (old age, disease etc etc) but can die from extreme scenarios - murder, accident. We can transfer our minds to the web as long as we maintain our consciousness. It does not matter how immortality is invented - AI can invent it because we invented AI - as long as it is invented.
Might start doing yearly updates for this cause it's gonna be running for a long time:
2025 March: I'll be honest I'd forgotten all about this poll until today. Am surprised to see that it's so high in favour of immortality. Then again there's still 75 years until 2100 so it makes sense. Hope everyone who has traded on this poll will be around for me to settle it. See you next year all.
1,000@JessicaEvans Fair question. I'll say that as long as humans can think and their consciousness is maintained in some way that counts.
"In 2100, will there be or have been biologically immortal humans or EMs" is how I interpreted this.