Which prediction markets will win? At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others? | Manifold

Which prediction markets will win? At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?

Basic

17

Ṁ1111

Jan 1

66%

Polymarket

61%

Manifold

51%

Kalshi

34%

Metaculus

34%

Interactive Brokers

28%

Predictit

17%

BrierFoxForecasts

15%

Futuur

5%

Insight Prediction https://insightprediction.com/

4%

Augur

4%

SciCast

Resolved

N/A

Insight Prediction

The main metric will be number of active users. May resolve to NA if there are no clear winners

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Predictions on Predictions

#Meta-Forecasting

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

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Insight Prediction

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Welcome to Manifold! For clarity, can you edit the title to “Which prediction market site will have the most users by 2025?” Great question, btw.

@oh thanks, can you remove the duplicate answer (insight Prediction) for me please?

@GordanKnott I’m not a moderator so I can’t resolve anything . You can resolve it as N/A

@oh I don't want to kill the question, just one answer

@GordanKnott You’re able to early resolve only one answer as NA

@oh that worked - thank you

How do I sell my shares in Insight Prediction? I don't actually believe in that platform but wanted to add it for completeness sake.

@PatrickDelaney I don't know 😞 I think I broke it

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