Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?

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Will Donald Trump appear to have failed to secure sufficient electoral college votes to win the next election and subsequently mount a stage and use a public address system to address a crowd of at least 100 people within 1km of the National Mall in Washington DC on the same day that the Electoral College votes are counted and ratified by Congress (expected to be January 6 2025) ? Betting closes on January 5th 2025 (or sooner if ratification is moved forward)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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predicted YES

@GordanKnott Doubt

I take a view that he wouldn't concede, but I doubt he would wait until January 6th to stir the pot, plus there's lots of forms besides "rally" the pot-stirring could take. Resolution as written could lead to all kinds of argument, I'm not betting.

predicted YES

@ClubmasterTransparent that's why it's so specific. What scenario do you forsee that would cause an argument?

@GordanKnott Stochastic terrorism for one.

Quite a few conditionals in the question and even more in the territory.

predicted YES

Can someone advise, if Trump wins, or he wins but concedes, should it resolve N/A or No?

@GordanKnott The question is phrased to stipulate [Trump loses] AND [Trump holds rally] so a failure of either condition should resolve to NO.

If the question was instead "Conditional on Trump losing, will he..." then it would be fair to resolve to N/A if he won.

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