Any live video medium will be sufficient, it does not need to be TV.
If deepfakes become common, then the video feed has to come from a reputable source.
[Related: https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/us-president-tv-orgasm-market-7-for]
Update 2024-26-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications to Resolution Criteria:
The act must be broadcast live, meaning it occurs and is transmitted simultaneously, not previously recorded.
Recorded content shown on a live broadcast does not count, as the act was not performed live.
Live broadcasts on platforms such as Twitch or during a Zoom meeting qualify if the act occurs live and is transmitted in real-time.
The live video does not need to be publicly available on the internet; as long as it is from a reputable source, it qualifies even if not openly accessible.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Good question. Here are some scenarios to help clarify.
POTUS films a sex tape. The sex tape is shown on a live video broadcast. DOESN'T COUNT. The act was not broadcast live.
POTUS re-enacts Clinton/Lewinsky on Twitch. Resolves as YES.
POTUS is caught in a Zoom meeting in flagrante. The NYTimes reports on the video, but not a single frame of the video makes it onto the open Internet. Resolves as YES, because the act is being broadcast on live video, even though it is not seen on the open Internet.
Imagine the possibilities! How could you not laugh?
“My fellow Americans. You are about to witness a more perfect union than any that has been seen in this Oval Office before. Put the kids in bed, pop open a beer, and get ready to witness history in the making. They once said that an Instagram-influencer-turned-porn-star couldn’t make it to the presidency — that I would tarnish the august and distinguished legacy of Donald Trump’s three terms in office (and two years of siege occupation of the west wing). But the American dream continues to stand at full mast, throbbing gently in the wind, raining freedom upon every man, woman, and child. I am living proof that it is the god given right of any American to get exactly what he or she wants out of life. God bless America! Let the healing begin! [naval brass band begins playing the national anthem, as the president of the United States disrobes].”
Is this any more surreal than what contemporary politics would look like from the perspective of someone who lived in the states 100 years ago? I think not.
@Mirek Dude, are you from Koy4Goff? Rad! Add me to your MSN! Add me to your MSN! I, too, love prize models at the pump!
@JonathanRay Three answers (1) If you have to ask, you'll never know. (2) We will use the Car Sagan scientific method: we will simply ask the invisible dragon in the room what he or she saw. (3) Dude, not even Bill Clinton could make his way through a teleprompter reading while in the act without his voice cracking like a 13-year-old boy's when the event happens. I invite you to search through PornHub to find a proof of concept, and then when you find one, to keep that link to yourself. Thanks.
@JakeTeale (1) It's funny. (2) I'm helping Manifold reach its level. (3) Ten years ago if someone published a question that said "US Presidential Candidate promotes his products in a debate, QVC style," it would have been bid to near zero... until Trump started talking about Trump steaks and Trump water in the middle of a debate.
@mr22222222 I don't think he'll ever have another orgasm... But then again, I don't even want to think about it!