Will both the FL & TX senate races be bluer than the MT senate race?
Basic
3
Ṁ141
Nov 30
15%
chance

Current senate polling shows both the Florida and Texas Senate races as closer than the Montana Senate race, despite Jon Tester (D-MT) being the only Democratic incumbent of these three races. Will what the polls predict actually happen?

This market will resolve YES if the two-party Senate margin (Democratic vote share - Republican vote share) in both Florida & Texas is greater than the two-party Senate margin in Montana.

This market will resolve NO otherwise.

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