Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons in the next UK general election?
Basic
43
Ṁ8.6kresolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK general election.
The market will resolve to "No" if the Liberal Democrats win 30 seats or fewer.
The outcome should be based on the official election results as declared by the UK Electoral Commission.
The market will resolve after the official results are announced and will not change in case of any subsequent by-elections, defections, or changes in party affiliation of the elected MPs.
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ270 | |
| 2 | Ṁ108 | |
| 3 | Ṁ105 | |
| 4 | Ṁ84 | |
| 5 | Ṁ73 |
Related questions
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
17% chance
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next Japanese election?
56% chance
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win more seats in the House of Representatives in the next Japanese general elections than it did in the 2021 Japanese general elections?
27% chance
Will the Labour Party win 400 or more seats in the next UK general election?
99% chance
Will any party win more than 50% of the votes at the next UK general election?
1% chance
Will Labour win a Majority in the next election?
99% chance
[Metaculus] Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?
96% chance