In response to results from the European parliamentary elections, Macron called snap parliamentary elections in France. Which party will recieve the highest percentage of the vote in these elections?
There will be two rounds of votes: 30 June & 7 July.
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There is a final tally of the votes cast in the first round. There is another final tally of the votes cast in the second round. Not everyone is eligible to vote in the runoff because 76 out of 577 constituencies are not voting in the runoff, they have elected their representative in the first round.
Like, if your question is "which party will be preferred by a plurality of French voters", that is clearly the first round result, and the answer is the RN.
If only half of the constituencies had gone to the runoff, would you take only those into account?
What if it was only 10%? Only a single of them?
What if there were none?
What if 576 had elected the RN in the first round with 100% of the votes, and the remaining one went to the runoff between Ensemble and NFP - would you count the winner of that one constituency?
My point is not that the question isn't fair. My point is that it doesn't make sense.
I understand I've posed the question poorly. My intention was to resolve by the vote counts in whatever round ended up being the final round in each consituency. This would be the sum of the votes for the first round for the 76 constituencies not having a second round along with the votes from today. In this way, it would be the closest proxy to everyone's final vote.