French Parliament elections June-July 2024 megamarket
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29
1.2k
Jul 18
92%
The party or coalition that gets the most votes during the first round also gets the most seats
88%
Rassemblement National gets a relative majority
53%
I (Mich) happen to be physically in two different cities for first and second round
41%
The next PM is not from the party / coalition with the most seats
22%
Any party or coalition has an absolute majority (>50% of seats)
20%
Jordan Bardella is nominated Prime Minister by Emmanuel Macron but he declines
19%
The Front Populaire coalition gets a relative majority
16%
The new Prime Minister is a woman
12%
Gabriel Attal remains Prime Minister
8%
Renaissance keeps a relative majority
7%
Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) gets the highest number of seats but Gabriel Attal doesn't remain Prime Minister
7%
Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) has more seats in the new parliament than in the previous one

Emmanuel Macron just announced the dissolution of the Franch parliament. A new parliament is soon to be elected, and as a consequence a new Prime Minister should be designated. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/09/europe/macron-dissolves-french-parliament-europe-intl/index.html

Anticipated elections are supposed to happen on June 30th and July 7th. The way French Parliament elections work is roughly the following : France is tesselated in a lot of districts, each districts have two-rounds elections where the winner becomes a member of parliament. Normally, the Prime Minister is from the party that won the most seats.

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bought Ṁ10 The Front Populaire ... NO

The market needs more liquidity

Mega markets are very expensive to fund. For liquidity best to do separate markets (especially if they close early)

@NicoDelon My mana broke ass can't make it crystal, sorry.

@Ziddletwix same for doing one market per option haha.

New options added ! Relative majority = party or coalition that has more seats than any other party or coalition taken separately. In case of a tie for a relative majority, both tied options resolve NO.

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