Will Scott Alexander do anything before 2030 that I personally would consider highly unethical?
Standard
20
Ṁ12422030
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
23% chance
Will Scott Alexander release another (50k+ words) fictional work before 2035?
67% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
34% chance
Will Scott Alexander endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?
72% chance
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
3% chance
Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030
20% chance
Will Scott Alexander judge a specific candidate movie to resolve his 2028 AI movie market?
61% chance
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
10% chance
Will Scott Alexander make a 6+ digit bet related to COVID, by EOY 2024?
22% chance
Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?
27% chance