The question resolves to Yes if I manage to exercise, for at least 30 mins, at least 6 times a week, for the whole of 2024 (but taking into account all other caveats below).

A week is every period 00:00 Mon- 23:59 Sun. The final week of 2024 does not count.

I allow myself to miss on 2 out of 52 weeks (it doesn't matter how many exercise sessions were missed), and, in addition, 4 exercise sessions in total some other times. (That is, the minimum number of hours spend exercising has to be at least 148 = (6*50 - 4)/2). I will post missed weeks/sessions in the comments during the week they happen.

Due to my non-24h circadian rhythm, at most two consecutive "exercise sessions" in question might be joined at times, but generally only when necessary (i.e. less than in 20% of cases - out of all exercise times, at most 20% must be "joined sessions").

The question also allows for extenuating circumstances to be taken into account, such as me being in a hospital. The question of whether circumstances qualify will be left for a third-party (a majority vote between three friends of mine) to decide, who can nevertheless be invested in the market. I will post updates in the comments if such situation arose.

I will trade on this market, but only by buying (and holding) Yes shares.

Background info: in the past, I had been running consistently (4-5 years ago), then stopped almost completely. Feel free to ask any questions in the comments. I will resolve the market as soon as it is possible.