Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ138
2026
38%
chance

GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants

paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12983

GPT4 scored only 15% compared to 92% for humans

I will resolve based on open source results or official reputable company announcements/papers.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Good market. A good resolution source might be the average score on the test set https://huggingface.co/spaces/gaia-benchmark/leaderboard

I would be interested in a market that ends at the end of 2029.

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