Examples that would cause this to resolve to yes:

• Customers cannot withdraw their assets for ≥14 days (e.g. due to a hack)

• Major loss of customer funds (>1% of total assets held on Polymarket, or similar), not just a few individuals affected

• Files for bankruptcy in a way where customer assets are affected

• Markets are blatantly resolved incorrectly, in a manner that is widely regarded as fraudulent or grossly incompetent (rather than minorly incompetent)

• Any other major incident that would cause investors not to want to put their dollars on Insight Prediction in the future

2023 market: https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/will-insight-prediction-fail-by-the-beeaf9674d79

Related markets:

• https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-insight-prediction-still-e

• https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/will-polymarket-fail-by-the-end-of

• https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/will-polymarket-fail-by-the-end-of-a62e1d8ba6bf