Will Clarence Thomas leave the supreme court before 2025?
Plus
25
Ṁ5822Jan 1
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
Actuarial tables give him a ~78% chance of surviving until then and once you condition on his social class and current state of health it's probably higher than that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
56% chance
Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
56% chance
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
1% chance
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
89% chance
Will Clarence Thomas recuse himself from any Trump case before 2025?
5% chance
Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
48% chance
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
45% chance
Will Sotomayor leave the supreme court before 2025?
5% chance