Will the next president have an approval rating above 45% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican? | Manifold

Will the next president have an approval rating above 45% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Standard

19

Ṁ1389

2026

1D

1W

1M

ALL

9%

There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will exceed 45% in 2025

41%

There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will not exceed 45% in 2025

11%

There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will exceed 45% in 2025

39%

There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will not exceed 45% in 2025

Resolves based on 538's tracker, or the most similar source I can find if 538's tracker becomes unavailable.

Both Biden and Trump have had approval ratings above this number, though not for very long. Right now, Biden's approval rating is 38.8% and Trump's is 43.1%.

This market will count any republican or democrat president if it's somehow not Biden or Trump, but it only counts the person who is inaugurated in January 2025. So if someone is inaugurated but then removed from office and replaced by their VP, their VP's approval rating will not count for this market.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Okay y'all seem quite pessimistic about anyone breaking 45%, so how about 43%? Trump is above that right now.

Related questions

Will the next president have an approval rating above 43% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 60% or more in the next 20 years?

Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of October 2024?

-3% 1d67% chance

What will Biden’s net approval rating be on October 31st, 2024 per 538?

If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 65% or more in the next 20 years?

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?

If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

Will Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50%?

Related questions

Will the next president have an approval rating above 43% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 60% or more in the next 20 years?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 65% or more in the next 20 years?

Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of October 2024?

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?

What will Biden’s net approval rating be on October 31st, 2024 per 538?

If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?

Will Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50%?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules