Will the next president have an approval rating above 43% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican? | Manifold

Will the next president have an approval rating above 43% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Basic

10

Ṁ668

2026

5%

There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will exceed 43% in 2025

7%

There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will not exceed 43% in 2025

39%

There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will exceed 43% in 2025

50%

There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will not exceed 43% in 2025

Resolves based on 538's tracker, or the most similar source I can find if 538's tracker becomes unavailable.

Both Biden and Trump have had approval ratings above this number, though not often. Right now, Biden's approval rating is 38.8% and Trump's is 43.1%.

This market will count any republican or democrat president if it's somehow not Biden or Trump, but it only counts the person who is inaugurated in January 2025. So if someone is inaugurated but then removed from office and replaced by their VP, their VP's approval rating will not count for this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will the next president have an approval rating above 45% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?

If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 60% or more in the next 20 years?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

Will Republican approval of the economy skyrocket to 80%+ in 2025?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 65% or more in the next 20 years?

Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?

Related questions

Will the next president have an approval rating above 45% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?

Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

Will Republican approval of the economy skyrocket to 80%+ in 2025?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 60% or more in the next 20 years?

Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 65% or more in the next 20 years?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules