Who will become the 47th (the next) President of the USA?
Basic
82
Ṁ13k2030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
57%
Donald Trump
21%
7%
Kamala Harris
7%
Gavin Newson
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Nikki Haley
According to https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/.
Donald Trump is 45th so he can theoretically become the 47th as well.
Joe Biden is 46th so he can't become the 47th.
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Donald Trump
Yes, but if Trump wins in 2024 he'll also be considered the 47th President. So we have to add the probability of Trump winning (let's say 50%) with the chance of him running and winning in 2028, which may be small but is nonzero. Personally, I think Trump should be at 55-60% based on this
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