Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
73
1.5kṀ14k2028
47%
22%
J.D. Vance
8%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Donald Trump
5%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Cory Booker
1.6%
Tim Walz
1.6%
Gretchen Whitmer
1.1%
Tulsi Gabbard
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72% chance
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@ItaiBarNatan Great bet. I think Trump should be at 10% right now, but I'm holding at 5 because I think others will sell down the market first.
@BTE market is kinda weird anyway, but if he loses he can run again, maybe we get full on cyborg life support to keep him alive. Look at Dick Cheney.
Let's be honest, 2028 will have a whole new cast of characters and this market will resolve as N/A most likely.
This market is suspposed to only close on 2028, allowing some sort of benefit for people predicting correctly far in advance
about Biden, I assume it's people misreading
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