Which of the following scenarios do you think is most likely to unfold in Myanmar by the end of 2024?
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Ṁ157Dec 31
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18%
Balkanization - Fragmentation of Myanmar into smaller, semi-autonomous regions.
3%
Ceasefire - A negotiated ceasefire leading to peace talks.
3%
Junta Regains Control - The junta launches a successful counter-offensive, consolidating its power.
75%
Protracted Conflict - Ongoing conflict without resolution or significant change from the current state.
3%
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