Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?
Standard
41
แน17432049
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES. Otherwise, resolve to NO.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
[deleted]
Related questions
Related questions
Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
5% chance
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
57% chance
Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?
37% chance
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?
13% chance
Will a major politician say "Return to Monke" in a public capacity by 2060?
44% chance
Will the US cap AI training runs after this candidate wins the presidency? (Before 2026)
Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
22% chance