Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
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Premium
110
แน€57k
2028
27%
Other
24%
JD Vance (Vice President)
7%
Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)
7%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
6%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
6%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
4%
Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)
2%
Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)
1.9%
Donald Trump Jr.
1.6%
Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)
1.4%
Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)
1.4%
Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)
1.4%
John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)
1.3%
Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)
1.3%
Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)
1.3%
Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)
1.2%
Kamala Harris (Vice President)
1.1%
Mark Cuban
1.1%
Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.

Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.

Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.

See also:

/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344

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AOC, Ro Khanna, Shawn Fain should be added

Mike Johnson could be the first sitting member of the House to be elected president since Garfield

Since this market resolves at 50% for the democratic nominee, Kamala is way overpriced at 35% (taking the 2024 odds for Kamala she should be priced at 0.5 * 0.53 = 26.5%).

sold แน€475 Kamala Harris (Vice ... YES

Oh crap, I completely misunderstood this market.

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