Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
155
22kṀ70k
2028
36%
Other
22%
JD Vance (Vice President)
6%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
5%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
4%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
3%
Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)
3%
Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)
1.8%
Kamala Harris (Vice President)
1.7%
Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)
1.6%
Michelle Obama (First Lady)
1.4%
Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)
1.4%
Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)
1.2%
Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)
1.1%
Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)
1.1%
John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)
1%
Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.

Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.

Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.

See also:

/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344

2028 Election
Politics
US Politics
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AOC, Ro Khanna, Shawn Fain should be added

Mike Johnson could be the first sitting member of the House to be elected president since Garfield

Since this market resolves at 50% for the democratic nominee, Kamala is way overpriced at 35% (taking the 2024 odds for Kamala she should be priced at 0.5 * 0.53 = 26.5%).

sold Ṁ475 YES

Oh crap, I completely misunderstood this market.

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