Which MLB team(s) will lose 100 or more games during the 2024 regular season?
24
Ṁ6858
Oct 5
87%
Colorado Rockies (2023: 103)
83%
Miami Marlins (1st 30-loss team in 2024)
Resolved
YES
Chicago White Sox (2023: 101)

Similar to the win market I generated last week. I’ve added the four teams from last season to lose 100+ games and will add by request or if I see a team trending to 100 by the All-Star Break (50-60 Ls).

Teams on this market will resolve NO early if they win their 63rd game prior to season’s end.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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More achievable than the 100-win market, here is the latest on the 1993 expansion teams:

The Miami Marlins have 94 losses with 13 games remaining. Their maximum wins to achieve 100 losses is 7.

The Colorado Rockies have 92 losses with 13 games remaining. Their maximum wins to achieve 100 losses is 5.

No teams will finish with 100 losses

@LBeesley I think this one can resolve NO?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Yes, that was my oversight. I have a completely separate market for the White Sox and overlooked the fact I’d resolved their spot here.

Since the Athletics have reached 63 wins, I’ve resolved them as well

Before the start of the week of August 19, 2024, here stand our towers of futility:

Chicago White Sox - 95 losses

Colorado Rockies - 79 losses

Miami Marlins - 78 losses

Los Angeles Angels, Oakland Athletics - 71 losses

I know the A’s and the Angels are on pace for only 93 losses, but it’s important to keep in mind any of these teams could suffer a White Sox level of catastrophe this end of the summer.

Also resolved for Kansas City. They currently have 66 wins. Damn, I’m behind.

Resolved for Houston. Their current record is 65-55, making 100 losses impossible.

bought Ṁ886 Chicago White Sox (2... YES

The ChiSox are already at 88 losses. It's inevitable for them.

Since I have a day’s cushion before the second “half” starts (64-67 games remaining), I’ve calculated the win percentage needed for each team on the board to reach 100 losses. As you can see, a couple of teams would have to have historic implosions to reach the mark. It’s close to 0, but we all know it isn’t 0. Lol

Chicago White Sox, 64 games remaining: win 35 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

Miami Marlins, 66 games remaining: win 29 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

Colorado Rockies, 65 games remaining: win 28 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

Oakland Athletics, 64 games remaining: win 25 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

Houston Astros, 66 games remaining: win 12 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

Kansas City Royals, 65 games remaining: win 10 games or fewer to reach 100 losses

No offense to the 3 or so Royals fans out there, but if any team can do it, it’s them.

Chicago White Sox (2023: 101)
bought Ṁ50 Chicago White Sox (2... YES

another 30 games and they lose 100

Yes. My intent was to make my wins and losses markets match, even if the “no teams lose 100 games” is unlikely at this point

Before the second half kicks off, I’ve added the “no teams” option that I have in my win market.

add astros