Will the Republicans win a trifecta in 2024 (controlling House, Senate and President)?
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Nov 5
35%
chance

The 2024 election will put the control of the US government up for grabs. There's a good chance the Republicans will win each of the three federal electoral institutions — the House, Senate and President. How likely is that?

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In case people wanted to live bet (though you could also just use the balance of power market).

@LawrenceLessig you may wish to extend the market close date until November 2024

predicts YES

@chrisjbillington not seeing how I can do that.

@LawrenceLessig Mouse-over the close date and you'll see a pencil icon, click that:

predicts YES

Here's an existing market on this topic with 25 participants:

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