![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FLucasThelen%2Fv5xui6jdfl.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will a thorium based nuclear reactor be in service for energy in the US before 2050?
Basic
12
Ṁ8112051
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any actor has a nuclear power plant using fertile thorium as it's main fuel source. Must be connected to the power grid and actively serving power before January 1st, 2051
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
43% chance
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
64% chance
Will another nuclear reactor begin operation in the U.S. before 2030 (not at Plant Vogtle)?
40% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
33% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
28% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
34% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
38% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2033?
34% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2039?
49% chance