Will Donald Trump say "Taiwan Number One" before 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ2012028
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has said the phrase "Taiwan Number One" before January 1st 2028.
This must have occurred after November 26th 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump appear on SNL before the 2028 election?
32% chance
Will Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?
4% chance
Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
49% chance
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
33% chance
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
37% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
21% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump verbally mention “Xiaohongshu” by name in 2025?
16% chance
Will Trump speak at the 2028 RNC?
61% chance