Will Donald Trump say "Taiwan Number One" before 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ1712028
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has said the phrase "Taiwan Number One" before January 1st 2028.
This must have occurred after November 26th 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
33% chance
Will Trump state unequivocally in 2024 that the US should not militarily intervene if China attempts to invade Taiwan?
16% chance
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
33% chance
Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
28% chance
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2024?
3% chance
Will Trump run another rally before 2029?
70% chance
Will the President of Taiwan(ROC) visit the US in 2024?
25% chance
If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
21% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly say the words “Article II” in his first week back in office?
41% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
20% chance