Will Donald Trump say "Taiwan Number One" before 2028?
10
100Ṁ2512028
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has said the phrase "Taiwan Number One" before January 1st 2028.
This must have occurred after November 26th 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
34% chance
Will Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?
9% chance
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
18% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance
Will Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump verbally mention “Xiaohongshu” by name in 2025?
8% chance
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
40% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?