Will organ transplant in humans using modified animal organs or chimeras be successful by 2030?
19
Ṁ419
2029
90%
chance
For it to be successful for the purpose of this question the graft has to not be acutely rejected or have issues causing it to fail for at least 6 months following surgery. See this article for some insight: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6861770/
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Would this have qualified if the patient had survived for 6 months?

https://www.umms.org/ummc/news/2022/transplant-of-genetically-modified-pig-heart-into-human-patient

Extremely unlikely. Human-human organ donation, let alone animal, remains quite difficult/complicated and relies heavily on immunosuppressive medications to prevent rejection. Can't see this happening in <10 years barring some major (?accidental) breakthrough.