Withdrawn (from 10 relevant states)

The embedded image that is intended to contain the Resolution Criteria does not render (HTTP error 404).

https://manifold.markets/GabrielTellez/which-nonmajor-candidate-for-us-pre?r=R2FicmllbFRlbGxleg

That last bullet (playing spoiler) is looking a lot more likely these days.

With the news about No Labels being a potential spoiler and seemingly having enough support to fit the criteria, maybe this should be a little higher. Of course, that all depends on whether they actually run a candidate.

See also

@StevenK Oops, looks like it didn't embed. See also

@StevenK Are you spamming this?

@StevenK I was trying to link this market, which seems relevant to me and not spam, but I think there may be a bug with the embedding.

@StevenK Yes, I am simply joking about it! 🤣 Appreciate the sharing and thank you.

How does this resolve if there's an independent candidate who meets one of the criteria, instead of a third party candidate?

@ManifoldMarkets I have the same question.