Will the margin in the popular vote in the 2024 election be larger than any individual 3rd party's vote share?
Basic
8
Ṁ232
Nov 11
87%
chance

Specifically the presidential election.

For example, if the candidate coming first gets 47% of the vote, and the candidate coming second gets 46% of the vote, if there is a 3rd party candidate that gets 1.01% of the vote then this market resolves NO, and if that candidate gets 0.99% of the vote and there is no other 3rd party with a higher vote share, this market resolves YES.

Dave Leip's numbers will be used to resolve.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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