What percent of the popular vote will third party candidates get in the 2024 election?
Basic
11
แน864Nov 30
0.2%
< 1.1
0.2%
1.1 - 1.5
62%
1.6 - 1.8
37%
1.9 - 2.0
0.2%
2.1 - 2.2
0.2%
>= 2.3
"Third party candidate" is any candidate who is not Trump or Harris.
Bounds include all digits after them - e.g. "1.9 - 2.0" includes 1.900000000001 to 2.09999999999
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote?
42% chance
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
11% chance
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
What political party or affiliation will come in third place in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
How much of the popular vote will the Libertarian Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
How much of the popular vote will the Green Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
What will be 20x the third-party vote share in 2024?
39% chance
What percentage of the vote will the third most popular candidate get in the 2024 Presidential Election?