Update 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Resolution Criteria:

• Tariffs must be imposed on all or nearly all imports (using the creator's discretion in good faith) from any of the listed nations taking effect prior to July 1st, 2025.

• The eligible nations include:

• Albania

• Belgium

• Bulgaria

• Canada

• Croatia

• Czechia

• Denmark

• Estonia

• Finland

• France

• Germany

• Greece

• Hungary

• Iceland

• Italy

• Latvia

• Lithuania

• Luxembourg

• Montenegro

• Netherlands

• North Macedonia

• Norway

• Poland

• Portugal

• Romania

• Slovakia

• Slovenia

• Spain

• Sweden

• Turkey

• United Kingdom

• Australia

• Egypt

• Israel

• Japan

• South Korea

• New Zealand

• Jordan

• Argentina

• Bahrain

• Philippines

• Taiwan

• Thailand

• Kuwait

• Morocco

• Pakistan

• Tnisia

• Brazil

• Colombia

• Qatar

• Kenya

• Additional Note: If tariffs are imposed on ALL US imports, the market will resolve as YES.

Update 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update to Resolution Criteria:

• If Trump leaves office by any means prior to any tariffs being imposed and before July 1st, 2025, the market will resolve as NO.