Resolves to whoever is selected as the United States Democratic Party nominee for President at the 2024 Democratic National Convention
Who will be the Democratic nominee?
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I have a market to sell you
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/who-would-win-the-presidential-elec
@ManifoldPolitics I feel like this (or @NathanpmYoung market) should be a prize market given the recent activity!
Reasoning: democrats don't care about anything but raw power. They will run through their horrible list of options and realize that each one is either fatally flawed wrt middle America or has absolutely no name recognition. They will see Michelle and think this is their one shot to resurrect 2024, having been too cuckish to challenge Biden properly last year. Michelle will now realize, in spite of priot statements, that she is the one hope for the dems (who doesn't want to be a savior?) and will reluctantly accept. Result: Michelle wins and Barack Obama begins his 4th term as president.
are you suggesting Polymarket did ask her? lol
I'm suggesting it's an assumption in either direction if there is not actual indication of her thoughts at the moment. I acknowledge she expressed no interest in previous interviews, but the current situation is one where she may reconsider.
I think we all would agree that her running would be ridiculous in a way, but where I may differ is in thinking it's exactly these sort of ridiculous things that can plausibly happen. I mean, look at how ridiculous Trump is and how far he got.
(Personally, I would prefer Hilary for her foreign policy chops, but even I can see that is a bigger longshot)
Added it to the description to improve search. Thanks for letting us know
Edit: it’s a minor improvement but still bad tbh, there is so many other markets using that terminology