Biden Nominee?

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Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?40% chance

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Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?53% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

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Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

54%

Joe Biden

26%

Kamala Harris

8%

Gavin Newsom

5%

Other

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#2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

Who will be the 2024 Democratic Nominee, if it is not Joe Biden?

69%

Kamala Harris

9%

Gretchen Whitmer

7%

Gavin Newsom

4%

Pete Buttigieg

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#2024 US Presidential Election

Who will be the 2024 Dem Nominee, and will they win or lose?

34%

Joe Biden Nominee, Loses

24%

Joe Biden Nominee, Wins

17%

Kamala Harris Nominee, Loses

10%

Kamala Harris Nominee, Wins

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#2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

Will Biden step aside/withdraw from the U.S. Presidential race prior to the Democratic National Convention?30% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024?

61%

Gretchen Whitmer

49%

[Any Democrat Except Biden or Harris]

45%

Pete Buttigieg

43%

Gavin Newsom

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#2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

If anyone but Biden is the Democratic Party nominee, will they win the election?

52%

Biden is the nominee

17%

Someone else is the nominee and wins

31%

Someone else is the nominee and loses

#2024 US Presidential Election

It's time for the White House to put up or shut up

Shielding Biden from public appearances might be a rational strategy -- and that's why it's a bad sign.

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Who will win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

54%

Joe Biden

32%

Kamala Harris

9%

Gavin Newsom

3%

A Candidate Not Listed Here

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#Democratic Party

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will either major party have a Brokered Convention in 2024?19% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Who will be the next Democratic Party Nominee who is not Joe Biden, in 2024 or beyond?

38%

Kamala Harris

29%

Other

12%

Gavin Newsom

6%

Gretchen Whitmer

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#2024 US Presidential Election

Will the Democratic Nominee be anyone except Joe Biden or Kamala Harris?7% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024 or 2028?

66%

Gretchen Whitmer

61%

Pete Buttigieg

54%

[Any Democrat Except Biden or Harris]

53%

Gavin Newsom

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#2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

(When) will Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race?

0.6%

Before first Dem primary

0.8%

Between first Dem primary and Super Tuesday

32%

Between Super Tuesday and Dem Convention

9%

Between Dem Convention and Election Day

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#2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

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