Will Kamala Harris say the word 'weird' in a debate with Donald Trump?
386
Ṁ140k
Dec 31
6%
chance

Applies to presidential debates taking place in 2024. Resolves to NO if the two do not debate each other in 2024.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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sold Ṁ1,805 NO

@Sky Will you resolve after this debate or wait for possibly more debates?

@PlainBG “Applies to presidential debates taking place in 2024.” plural implies later debates count if they happen

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@LiamZ oh shit, just dropped half my networth

@RossPfeiffer No 2nd debate scheduled yet. Gods speed.

@LiamZ Later debates do count. I can wait until the end of the year or election day to resolve.

@Sky this market just got more interesting

Remember when she was wearing this? Yikey mikey!

Is this the real life? Nobody is talking about it!

opened a Ṁ200 NO at 75% order

This is so overpriced. Harris hasn't said the word in her stump speeches and Walz who came up with the strategy is much more eager to use it. The matchup matters too, Walz calling Vance weird plays much better than Harris calling Trump weird.

@PlainBG I agree but I think it's greater than 25% probability that a moderator (or Trump) will bring it up in a future debate (if it happens) and then she will say the word in her response. 75% was definitely over priced at the time though.

bought Ṁ200 YES

I’d imagine because of Walz there’d be a reasonable chance of Kamala making the same joke.

It is a strong strategy.

@Quroe I thought so too, but conditional on there not being another debate...

Is this a ctrl+f on the transcript type deal, or is there nuance? Essentially - does it need to be targeted (i.e., calling him weird) or does this still resolve "YES" if she uses it in some context outside the general meme / famous usage? (e.g., "there have been weird trends with ... " etc. etc.)

Good question - I think I’ll go with ctrl+f on the transcript? Would have to change the description otherwise